ISM Brings Optimism, USD Strength and AMD Earnings Tomorrow

Subscriber Update Feb2 2026

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Not that we put much stock in the US economic data, but today’s ISM Manufacturing beat does give us some room for optimism as ISM came in at 52.6% with an easy beat of the expected 48.4% estimates and this puts ISM back above the 50 marker and back in expansion territory. Equities used it as further confirmation of the already overnight European open bounce after an atrocious Asian session.

Once again our weekly support was hit and we saw a significant bounce where we do expect a test of our weekly resistance level of 26150 here soon. This area should see some back and forth but depending on the continued earnings out of the tech arena, those earnings should dominate the flows. We have AMD tomorrow after the close so let’s take a look at the options break-even:

We are leaning toward the put spreads here and the 237.50/227.50 offers a juicy 2.39x risk/reward. When we look at the chart the bullish move is still in place and $195 area is key on the downside, but might be time for a bit of back and fill here below $240:

The energy sector was hit hard today, due to easing US/Iran tensions as well as a bit of reprieve from the recent cold snap across the nation, take a look at the futures we follow:

Despite the pull back, we believe new buyers will emerge near the $61 level:

As far as the QQQ ETF which is our hedge most of the time for our subscriber MEGA9s data, it looks as if it wants to test above 630 once again:

Another chart we like is the DXY, this longer term trend channel is significant, and it seems its enough of a technical marker to bring in some dollar buyers. We like this bounce here and would not short the USD at all here now, not at least until the bottom of this support band has been broken:

Ok one last chart the March SP500 where much like the Nasdaq, we expect buyers to push to the resistance levels, in this case 7075 and we would believe sellers are waiting there:

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