MEGA9s Back at Long Term Trendline
Subscriber Update Sep12 2025 plus Monero back > $300
The Magnelibra MEGA9s Data Tracker is now right back at the long term trendline. This data tracker follows the market cap total of the top 9 largest U.S. companies. We believe Ai led investing drives capital flows in a binary fashion, assigning a simple 0 or 1 for long/buy or short/sell. Magnelibra believes you can pretty much toss out any old equity valuation model and supplant it with one that targets both the FOMC asset base annualized rate of change or total increase over time as well as simply follow the largest companies that show positive capital flows. These positive capital flows are designated purely by its increase in market capitalization. Anyway here is the MEGA9s market total market cap chart:
As we noted in one of our prior posts, that it would not surprise us in the least to see equities run right into new ATHs as we moved closer to the FOMC meeting here in September. Well its obvious now that this indeed is the case, however we also know this set up is ripe for being wiped out post rate cuts. We have seen this play book time and time again!
As far as the QQQ ETF, it is bullish as long as it can maintain above 569 this week with 595 the target high resistance area now:
The Nasdaq futures markets are also trying to reach their long term slope line but would require a move toward 24700 to do so, lets see if we can touch there this week:
As far as the SP500 futures they keep trying to test the longer term trend channel, but have been unsuccessful to break back up inside there:
When we look at the U.S. Govt 10Y we have the 4.09% level as the base line target to hold, if we close above this line this week, then we may see some consolidation to higher yields transpire. A settle below once again this week then we would expect a continuation of the lower rate theme:
Another chart we want to focus upon is Silver, it will be interesting to see how this chart looks post the FOMC decision. $41 is the key support this week with $36.50 being the bull/bear pivot flipping a lot of systematics to take defensive short bet positions:
Alright let’s move onto the Magnelibra Subscriber section with all our data for the markets that we cover.
Magnelibra CTA Futures Market Trend Sentiment (Our proprietary commodity trading advisory futures market sentiment long/neutral/short market flows indicator) The portfolio is made up of the core futures markets we cover and the indicators are for single contracts of the futures market, whether long, short or zero neutral. The P+L is generated via the starting daily position and the ending daily settlement. This is considered a high risk alternative strategy. However most investors should leave a portion of their overall portfolio within a high risk basket. Some of the percentages of the overall portfolio dedicated to high risk should vary from 3% to 18% depending on ones overall time to invest and risk profiles. We added the Sharpe to our data now as well for those quantitative types!
NOTABLE CHANGES:
Move to “1” Long Bias:
Move to “0” Neutral Bias:
Move to “-1” Short Bias:
The U.S. Bond Yield Curve (This is our daily graphic displaying the U.S. bond market yield curve changes. We follow the 2 year thru 30 year durations. Please note that bond prices work inversely to yield changes so for instance if bond prices are rising and moving upward, then their yields are falling or moving downward. We also track the relationship between the durations known as US Yield Curve Spreads, when we list it as 2s5, we are comparing the yield differential between the 2 year vs the 5 year with the positive/negative viewed from the higher durations perspective.
We continue to see a minor profit taking flattening going into the FOMC decision:
Daily Settlement Sheet (Magnelibra’s Futures and Cash bond market coverage of the daily settlement prices and dollar value of the contracts given move)
Silver was the days big contract winner on Friday:
The 5 & 30 Day rolling changes with top 3 Winners and losers (The last 5 trading days and 22 trading days net changes)
Silver, Gold and Bitcoin the YTD winners:
Magnelibra MEGA9s Portfolio Tracker (This is a synthetic long only portfolio of the Top 9 largest equities by market cap. We started this tracker because we understand Ai dominates the investment landscape and operates in a binary construct. What we mean is that it issues a buy or a sell and will do so in reinforcing mechanisms, meaning if alpha is rising it will add, if it is falling it well sell and remove. We also created a “hedge” for those that want a more active approach to tactically maximizing their long only static portfolio of equities)
As far as the MEGA9s the hedges were losers last week as the overall market rallied in the top 9 largest equities. Tesla has been on a tear and now almost back to unchanged on the year! The MEGA9s gained $223 Billion in market cap and look at AVGO at this pace it will soon take the 6th spot away from META! We will hedge this week with the long puts again, we don’t think going into FOMC week with short calls is prudent. So we will try to get off the QQQ 585 puts for $3 or less as this weeks hedge:
MEGA9s total market cap chart (This chart represents the total market cap of the MEGA9s and lists the 21pMA in pink along with the 50p and 200p MA)
This is the chart we shared at the beginning of this post:
Strategy Inc / BTC Trading Tracker (Bitcoin vs MSTR equity, Our Strategy Inc. Covered Call Portfolio Tracker, Long 100 shares MSTR and short 1, 4% to 10% out of the money call on Monday’s open each week)
The MSTR call strategy will once again sell the 4 to 5% OTM call strike near the open on Monday. For those playing along at home, please note, this long MSTR strategy that incorporates a short covered call hedge is something you cannot pick and choose to do one week to the next! This is a mandatory weekly hedge vs your long holdings. Volatility continues to get stripped out and crushed, buying Bitcoin outright vs MSTR is always the preferred exposure, if you were wondering. MSTR QoQ vol continues to collapse and the hedged call selling strategy is +18.7% vs the outright being down -12.9% during this same time period since 12/1/24:
The new BTC metrics are as follows after this weeks issuance by Strategy to buy more BTC:
BTC/MSTR shares = 0.1911 and Total BTC owned = 638460 and the dollar cost average = $73,880 with the premium metric tumbling today to 1.49x:
As far as Bitcoin, $112500 is this weeks support with $118700 the resistance and we will have to trade below $107500 to flip to full bearish mode:
As far as Monero (XMR) it continues to trade well and its really the true standout amongst all cryptocurrencies for both longevity and more importantly for privacy! XMR is superior in so many ways and honestly its why its the most attacked, centralized players like the global central banks hate it, governments hate it because it is untraceable and in the future, privacy will become highly sought after once again!
Monero XMR is +60% YTD its up 2.5x that of Bitcoin!
Alright that is it, we hope our letter demonstrates the power of being an active investor vs your static long only holdings. In today’s world there are only excuses when it comes to losses, you should be active and do things that mitigate your overall risk, to not do so is purely just lazy. If you need to review your own risk, we would be glad to help, we can simplify pretty much everything and offer you a new way to look at investing. Too many of you often use mutual funds, often pay 1% or more for passive investing and chalk it up to the fact that this is how old grand dad did it that is how I will do it. Well don’t be foolish, today’s markets are nothing like even a decade ago, let alone a generation ago. We hope we are giving you a better and clearer proof of that then anyone else. Anyway reach out send a DM here, send an email and let’s discuss what you can do, its a matter of being proactive rather than being just pure laziness!
Thank you guys, appreciate all the support and thank you for reading our work and hopefully your gaining valuable insight and improving your own techniques and improving your non linear thought processes. We feel that support of our letter and the pricing of our tiers is more than fair market, so please think about supporting our work, till next time. Cheers!
Support directly to our BTC address if you can: 3DvDvPnjwu5Fd6sagAYmiFXA2fPkjJf2cp
Anyone interested in investing in Monero (XMR) please reach out, we have a link to Kraken below if you use my referral code or link to try it, we’ll both earn 75 USD when you trade $200 USD of crypto in the app!
Code: y4wsyws7
Link: https://proinvite.kraken.com/9f1e/11l9bp1z
Additionally we would be glad to consult anyone interested in getting involved here. As always we view these crypto currencies in the same realm as futures, high risk, high reward, and every portfolio should have a small percentage of their overall portfolio in investments like this.
So if interested please reach out to the email below directly and we can discuss this further. The future of financial payment systems will be digital decentralized and we are still in the infancy of this fascinating technology!
If anyone is interested in working on a digital currency project and joining in as a core investor to help lay the foundation for what is to come, please reach out!
Cheers,
Magnelibra
@Charting With KR cautiom warranted with Mag9 given its long term positioning?