No Rate Cuts? Markets Don't Mind

Trading Data Update June 25 2025

We had an issue with our data being corrupted and had to rework a few items, but we believe we have everything back in order. We apologize to our subscribers for the delay. As our prior post was entitled “status quo” we felt it was appropriate given the recent movements within the markets, basically shunning any worthy risk and instead the markets have kept a steady hand on the buy button. Honestly this doesn’t surprise us, we have said time and time again, there are a very few with a tremendous amount of base money and access to leverage. Generally the market places are no longer a reflection of the real economy, we often wonder if the real economy actual matters to the financial markets. Perhaps the precipice has been passed long ago and the monetarists have won, having successfully bypassed all organic economic fundamental signaling. Who trusts the data anyways, honestly the data never seems to match the overall sentiment. One look at the housing market and you would think things are abysmal, yet despite the ample supply, which today’s data confirmed as new home sales fell to 623k and market supply now at 9.8 months worth +1.5 from the month prior. We have shown this before, but many still haven’t taken our word as prices are sticky and haven’t really collapsed, but we suspect it will be one of those, gradually and then all of a sudden moves. The graphic we have here shows how at current rates well, the general pool of buyers has been eviscerated by an estimated 70%

We feel many realtors don’t truly understand this, nor will they inform their client base, but honestly they should!

OK, lets take a look at the markets first up the QQQ, where its firmly back into that huge wedge that formed prior. Failure here and a weekly close below 535 will negate this reentry attempt for the bulls:

The SP500 weekly resistance is up at 6175 and the bulls will most certainly try to get a weekly close above here, a move back below 6025 would bring the bears into play:

As far as the Nasdaq futures they are above weekly resistance now and let’s see if they can close there about 22425 to keep the bull move intact. Bears would likely need a push back under 22000 to gain any momentum:

The spread between the NQ and SP has hit new lows as money continues to plow into the tech sector and shunning the broader markets. This isn’t a surprise as you know as Ai is most certainly the cause of this massive concentration and lack of diversification:

As far as Crude Oil, its trading right on top of the $65 bull/bear pivot area where we expect buyers to emerge, below here targets a decisive move lower toward $60:

We have all the MTR Subscriber data and trading trackers up next, we urge you to become a full subscriber and truly break through that barrier of understanding in regards to our global financial system and perhaps implement some of our trading trackers into your own investment profiles! If you are sick of stagnating, sick of losing then join the ranks of MTR Subscribers!

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