Non Farm Payrolls & Markets Close Early For July 4th

Trading Data Update July 2 2025 (New Subscriber Pricing)

Ok guys shortened trading day tomorrow as Cash Equities and Bonds both close at 1pm tomorrow. We have the all eyes and hands on deck Non Farm Payroll report tomorrow and considering the latest ADP report, well let’s just say things aren’t lookin so hot:

The first negative print since March of 2023:

We are also starting to see some of the delinquency numbers start to pile up as well:

Another data print that has caught our eye is the own vs rent comparable, which as John Burns Research points out, that for the first time since 2006 an entry level home is now more than twice the apartment rent. This is truly staggering and highly unsustainable:

We also know that retail has been a heavy buyer of equities lately but the buying is also very concentrated. We saw this SP500 market breadth data and not sure what it exactly will lead to, but we are certain that concentration of buys has completely disregarded all fundamental diversification practices. We eventually think this concentration and hoarding will eventually be dealt with an adverse event and many will be forced out through a very narrow passage:

Bitcoin had a nice rebound today but ultimately the next leg up will come from a breach of $112k on a weekly close, we are close but will we get there?

The Nasdaq futures are still trying to march back to their long term slope line lets see how the data comes out tomorrow, next directional bias confirms come outside our weekly resistance or support areas, for now bulls have the edge:

We have absolute new bottom of the barrel pricing for the entire month of July. So if you aren’t subscribing please do so, it will never be cheaper to do so!

We have all the MTR Subscriber data and trading trackers up next, we urge you to become a full subscriber and truly break through that barrier of understanding in regards to our global financial system and perhaps implement some of our trading trackers into your own investment profiles! If you are sick of stagnating, sick of losing then join the ranks of MTR Subscribers!

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