As always Magnelibra Readers, lets begin with our positive affirmation quote:
“if you can create it in your mind and you can believe it in your heart, then you can achieve it!”
We hope everyone has had a wonderful holiday break and now its time to get back to the data. No we wont comment on the removal of Chavez in Venezuela as this was well telegraphed given the build up of forces in the region. However it will add to the destabilization that we suspect is to come in 2026. As far as 2025 well it was a very strange year, for the first time in a long time, real money, that is gold and silver, have finally awoken to the U.S. Govt’s debt printing frenzy and have begun discounting this printed prosperity.
We often heard how well equity indexes held up in 2025 yet if we look at their returns from the value standpoint vs Gold and Silver, the SP500 and the Nasdaq got crushed dropping nearly 30% and 50% respectively vs gold and silver. Its a hard concept to understand, but the main theme is simple, the US Dollar is a fiat debt based instrument and real money is and has always been Gold and Silver. We suspect this theme will continue into 2026.
One area that we believe will catch people off guard however is if equity returns start to go negative in 2026, we would suspect the metals to also cool off. Its going to be an interesting year with the FOMC undoubtedly going to continue their rate cutting ways and really steepen out the US bond market curve.
Ok let’s take a look at the QQQ ETF for this weeks support resistance levels:
As far as the Nasdaq and SP500 futures:
Gold futures have opened up strong, however we feel like sellers will be waiting in the wings and tonight’s up move may be sold into closer to the morning session time frames:
Here is our US Govt 5 Year chart, where we show the average US Govt debt costs at their respective average interest rates. Our chart highlights our target FOMC Fed Funds rate by the end of 2027 to be 1.5%. The 3.65% yield level once broken should usher in the next wave down:
We ask that all of our readers share our work on their social medias, via email with your family and friends as we seem to moving into a much more volatile period and certainly one where access to solid information will be key. The world needs to understand our systems for what they are and that there are actionable steps one can take to truly learn and understand both our financial sphere and our world at large!
Anyway we hope you guys sign up for our work here, we truly believe we can help you succeed in your endeavors that we can open up some new pathways of thinking and of course we believe we have so much to offer you if you just put some of our work into context, make some moves and unleash the power that is inside each and everyone of you.
We are limited only by ourself imposed walls, remove those barriers and access your full potential! Our new Founding Member Digital Strategy will revolutionize the way you look at the crypto space, the future is decentralized and we believe we have a way for you to participate, to learn, to succeed and to provide the very proof you need each and every single day, the future is now!
We already know our regular subscribers enjoy access to our Futures Market Sentiment indicators, our MEGA9s Equity based focus with a dynamic hedge process to enhance your ability to cut risk and create a professional portfolio. Our goal is to remove this stigma that all you have is long only plays, beholden to the market always rising.
So sign up today, our offering is cheap for the monthly regular membership, our digital Founders Tier is designed to be your access point into the future of decentralized finance as we envision it, we hope you join us we know you won’t regret it.
Please enjoy full access to our work today, normally we keep the subscriber only sections behind the paywall. Today you’ll find the full breakdowns, exclusive data, trade setups, and the unfiltered truth we don’t normally publish in the open.
For the price of a coffee or two each month, the regular membership gives you unlimited access to everything we publish. For those looking to delve into the digital asset space, please step up to the digital Founders Tier which is your front-row seat to the future of decentralized finance as we’re actively building it, complete with our proprietary digital currency model which will include our discretionary bonus for our Founder tier members. Many have already joined and never looked back. We’d love to have you with us – come see why they don’t regret it.
Subscribe now and let’s get to work! Please also think about sharing our work on your social media outlets to help us in our endeavors to educate the masses.
Magnelibra CTA Futures Market Trend Sentiment (Our proprietary commodity trading advisory futures market sentiment long/neutral/short market flows indicator) The portfolio is made up of the core futures markets we cover and the indicators are for single contracts of the futures market, whether long, short or zero neutral. The P+L is generated via the starting daily position and the ending daily settlement. This is considered a high risk alternative strategy. However most investors should leave a portion of their overall portfolio within a high risk basket. Some of the percentages of the overall portfolio dedicated to high risk should vary from 3% to 18% depending on ones overall time to invest and risk profiles. We added the Sharpe to our data now as well for those quantitative types!
NOTABLE CHANGES to Start 2026:
Move to “1” Long Bias: ZF, A6, D6
Move to “0” Neutral Bias: E6, B6, S6
Move to “-1” Short Bias: ZB, QR
The U.S. Bond Yield Curve (This is our daily graphic displaying the U.S. bond market yield curve changes. We follow the 2 year thru 30 year durations. Please note that bond prices work inversely to yield changes so for instance if bond prices are rising and moving upward, then their yields are falling or moving downward. We also track the relationship between the durations known as US Yield Curve Spreads, when we list it as 2s5, we are comparing the yield differential between the 2 year vs the 5 year with the positive/negative viewed from the higher durations perspective.
The U.S. Treasury yield curve flattened slightly today as bond yields rose across maturities. That short term noise does not change our core conviction:
Our base case remains a decisive steepening of the yield curve over the next 12–18 months.
We expect the FOMC will be forced to cut the Fed Funds rate aggressively, bringing it to 2.5% by the end of 2026.
Those cuts will drive long-term yields substantially higher relative to short-term rates, producing a classic steepening outcome.
This is not a hope it’s our highest-conviction macro call. Players are still advised to stay long the curve meaning long the shorter durations (2s, 3s or 5s vs the longer end 10s and 30s)
Daily Settlement Sheet (Magnelibra Futures and Cash bond market coverage of the daily settlement prices and dollar value of the contracts given move)
US Interest Rate Futures and Cash Markets plus Yield and Inter-commodity Spreads:
Equity Index Futures:
Dollar and FX Futures:
Energy Futures:
Metal Futures:
German Futures:
The 5, 30 Day and YTD rolling changes with top 3 Winners and losers (The last 5 trading days, 22 trading days and YTD net changes)
Silver, Gold and Copper take the top 3 spots for returns in 2025, +127.8%, +54.2% and +31.6% respectively.
Nat Gas, WTI Crude Oil and the USD index round out the bottom worst performers for 2025 -22.2%, -11.8% and -8.2% respectively:
Magnelibra MEGA9s Portfolio Tracker (This is a synthetic long only portfolio of the Top 9 largest equities by market cap. We started this tracker because we understand Ai dominates the investment landscape and operates in a binary construct. What we mean is that it issues a buy or a sell and will do so in reinforcing mechanisms, meaning if alpha is rising it will add, if it is falling it well sell and remove. We also created a “hedge” for those that want a more active approach to tactically maximizing their long only static portfolio of equities)
The MEGA9s had a great run in 2025 as the basket of equal weights was +24.9% on the year with our hedged MEGA9 +29.3%. We look to continue to track this for you again this year and offer you our hedges that we believe best suit a static long portfolio like this. Alphabet (GOOG), Broadcom (AVGO) and Nvidia (NVDA) took the top 3 spots in 2025 +65.1%, +50.7% and +40.2% respectively:
MEGA9s total market cap chart (This chart represents the total market cap of the MEGA9s and lists the 21pMA in pink along with the 50p and 200p MA)
The total market cap chart has been stuck at the 50pMA for quite some time, something will have to give here:
Please see our other post for the ***Founding Member Digital Strategy Section***
Ok members, take the day and seize it, know your going to win and win! We will bring you all the starting 2026 data tomorrow as we update all our sheets for the new year!
Thank you guys, appreciate all the support and thank you for reading our work.
Support directly to our BTC address if you can: 3DvDvPnjwu5Fd6sagAYmiFXA2fPkjJf2cp
Anyone interested in investing in Monero (XMR) please reach out, we have a link to Kraken below if you use my referral code or link to try it, we’ll both earn 75 USD when you trade $200 USD of crypto in the app! (PLEASE CHECK YOUR LOCAL RESTRICTIONS! NY RESIDENCE CANNOT BUY XMR ON KRAKEN) -Absurd we know! Code: y4wsyws7 Link: https://proinvite.kraken.com/9f1e/11l9bp1z
Additionally we would be glad to consult anyone interested in getting involved here. As always we view these crypto currencies in the same realm as futures, high risk, high reward, and every portfolio should have a small percentage of their overall portfolio in investments like this.
So if interested please reach out to the email below directly and we can discuss this further. The future of financial payment systems will be digital decentralized and we are still in the infancy of this fascinating technology!
If anyone is interested in working on a digital currency project and joining in as a core investor to help lay the foundation for what is to come, please reach out!
DISCLAIMER: For educational purposes only. This is not a solicitation to buy or sell commodity futures or options. The risk of trading securities, futures and options can be substantial and is not for everyone. Such investments may not be appropriate for the recipient. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and, as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. Nothing contained in this message may be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by, of or from Magnelibra Capital Advisors. We will never claim that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Although care has been taken to assure the accuracy, completeness and reliability of the information contained herein, we make no warranty, express or implied, or assume any legal liability or responsibility for the accuracy, completeness, reliability or usefulness of any information, product, service or process disclosed.
All Rights Reserved Magnelibra Capital Advisors LLC 2026
