Before we get into it all, we wanted to share our thoughts on the recent Tucker Carlson interview with Solari Reports, Catherine Fitts. We believe this is a must watch for all our subscribers. We have followed her work for quite some time and she covers some very deep stuff and pushes the boundaries of our overall understanding of not only our financial system, but the underpinnings of a shadow monetary system which we seemingly know exists but can’t truly quantify. Anyway we have the link to his X account with this video Tucker Carlson on X
As far as today, it seemes that the stock market is eagerly anticipating the earnings reports from Meta and Microsoft tomorrow after the close. The trading thus far this week has been pretty lackluster and may just be exhaustion from the recent bounce off the lows. With the Nasdaq futures seemingly flanked by 19k for support and 19932 as resistance, we may just get a move outside these bounds with the tech stalwarts reporting after the close.
Let’s look at each one of these stocks and see what the options markets are saying. First up META we are still bearish below 595:
The ATM straddle using the $555 strike is trading $43.30 for the Friday expiration. This implies a 7.8% break even move. Call bets outweigh puts here and thus let’s take a look at the $540/$520 put spread trading right around $6.85 for a decent 1.9x payoff at full value.
As far as Microsoft the chart structure seems a bit more constructive as its right on our $385 pivot with moving averages declining now acting as resistance:
We will use the ATM Straddle strike of $395, its priced at $18.90, this implies a move of 4.7% so quite a bit of less embedded volatility in this one and maybe this offers a better risk reward if you take on the straddle, you would need a move above $414 or below $376.
In other markets we continue to see the US Bond having a good run as the 10Y is now down 42 basis points off of the recent highs:
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