As always Magnelibra Readers, lets begin with our positive affirmation quote:
“if you can create it in your mind and you can believe it in your heart, then you can achieve it!”
Ok with all the hype going into Sunday’s open about the explosive moves in the metals, well we have seen the CME come to the rescue of any shorts left.
The CME Group announced and implemented margin hikes on COMEX silver futures amid extreme volatility. Effective after close on December 29, 2025, initial margins for silver contracts increased to $25,000 per contract up from $22,000.
This was the second hike in under two weeks, following an earlier increase (from $20,000 to $22,000 around mid-December).
CME also tightened position limits in some cases.
The exchange described this as a routine volatility review to ensure adequate collateral and mitigate risk.
As we suspected this new margin hike would trigger significant deleveraging. Leveraged long positions (especially retail and mid-sized traders) faced margin calls, leading to forced liquidations. We know the official CME view, is that this is a necessary and standard risk-management tool to protect the clearinghouse and market integrity during high volatility, not targeted manipulation.
We are can see the frustration for free market proponents, however when it comes to the sheer size of these moves, we do agree with the CME’s decision to hike margins to limit participation.
Let’s take a look at the Silver weekly and daily charts as Siler was pounded down here after posting new highs, dumping over 10% off its highs:
The Gold setup is similar:
We suspect this latest move by the CME should put a little bit of calm back into the marketplace. However fundamentally the theme is still ever present, that is fiat currencies have seemingly reached their value limit vs “real money.”
Another chart we want to watch is Crude Oil, there seems to be a decent base that has formed and does suggest probes higher may be in the spotlight here short term. We also heard on the street that Iran is preparing for war with Israel and the U.S. so shorting Oil or playing it from the short side is not warranted here from our lens:
As far as the Nasdaq index and SP500 futures, our levels are still dictating the upper and lower bounds:
The QQQ ETF continues to struggle with the 625 area, we suspect this will be the hurdle they need to overcome and 612 on the downside is the base buyers will need to hold to keep the sellers from accelerating:
As far as US Govt bond yields, the 10Y sector continues to magnet the 4.09% area. We suspect the continued rounds of rate cuts will drive deep into 2026 as the leverage continues to get taken out of the system.
We ask that all of our readers share our work on their social medias, via email with your family and friends as we seem to moving into a much more volatile period and certainly one where access to solid information will be key. The world needs to understand our systems for what they are and that there are actionable steps one can take to truly learn and understand both our financial sphere and our world at large!
Anyway we hope you guys sign up for our work here, we truly believe we can help you succeed in your endeavors that we can open up some new pathways of thinking and of course we believe we have so much to offer you if you just put some of our work into context, make some moves and unleash the power that is inside each and everyone of you.
We are limited only by ourself imposed walls, remove those barriers and access your full potential! Our new Founding Member Digital Strategy will revolutionize the way you look at the crypto space, the future is decentralized and we believe we have a way for you to participate, to learn, to succeed and to provide the very proof you need each and every single day, the future is now!
We already know our regular subscribers enjoy access to our Futures Market Sentiment indicators, our MEGA9s Equity based focus with a dynamic hedge process to enhance your ability to cut risk and create a professional portfolio. Our goal is to remove this stigma that all you have is long only plays, beholden to the market always rising.
So sign up today, our offering is cheap for the monthly regular membership, our digital Founders Tier is designed to be your access point into the future of decentralized finance as we envision it, we hope you join us we know you won’t regret it.
Please enjoy full access to our work today, normally we keep the subscriber only sections behind the paywall. Today you’ll find the full breakdowns, exclusive data, trade setups, and the unfiltered truth we don’t normally publish in the open.
For the price of a coffee or two each month, the regular membership gives you unlimited access to everything we publish. For those looking to delve into the digital asset space, please step up to the digital Founders Tier which is your front-row seat to the future of decentralized finance as we’re actively building it, complete with our proprietary digital currency model which will include our discretionary bonus for our Founder tier members. Many have already joined and never looked back. We’d love to have you with us – come see why they don’t regret it.
Subscribe now and let’s get to work! Please also think about sharing our work on your social media outlets to help us in our endeavors to educate the masses.
Magnelibra CTA Futures Market Trend Sentiment (Our proprietary commodity trading advisory futures market sentiment long/neutral/short market flows indicator) The portfolio is made up of the core futures markets we cover and the indicators are for single contracts of the futures market, whether long, short or zero neutral. The P+L is generated via the starting daily position and the ending daily settlement. This is considered a high risk alternative strategy. However most investors should leave a portion of their overall portfolio within a high risk basket. Some of the percentages of the overall portfolio dedicated to high risk should vary from 3% to 18% depending on ones overall time to invest and risk profiles. We added the Sharpe to our data now as well for those quantitative types!
NOTABLE CHANGES:
Move to “1” Long Bias:
Move to “0” Neutral Bias: J6, CL, RB, HG
Move to “-1” Short Bias:
The U.S. Bond Yield Curve (This is our daily graphic displaying the U.S. bond market yield curve changes. We follow the 2 year thru 30 year durations. Please note that bond prices work inversely to yield changes so for instance if bond prices are rising and moving upward, then their yields are falling or moving downward. We also track the relationship between the durations known as US Yield Curve Spreads, when we list it as 2s5, we are comparing the yield differential between the 2 year vs the 5 year with the positive/negative viewed from the higher durations perspective.
The U.S. Treasury yield curve flattened slightly today as bond yields rose across maturities. That short term noise does not change our core conviction:
Our base case remains a decisive steepening of the yield curve over the next 12–18 months.
We expect the FOMC will be forced to cut the Fed Funds rate aggressively, bringing it to 2.5% by the end of 2026.
Those cuts will drive long-term yields substantially higher relative to short-term rates, producing a classic steepening outcome.
This is not a hope it’s our highest-conviction macro call. Players are still advised to stay long the curve meaning long the shorter durations (2s, 3s or 5s vs the longer end 10s and 30s)
Daily Settlement Sheet (Magnelibra Futures and Cash bond market coverage of the daily settlement prices and dollar value of the contracts given move)
US Interest Rate Futures and Cash Markets plus Yield and Inter-commodity Spreads:
Equity Index Futures:
Dollar and FX Futures:
Energy Futures:
Metal Futures:
German Futures:
The 5 & 30 Day rolling changes with top 3 Winners and losers (The last 5 trading days and 22 trading days net changes)
Magnelibra MEGA9s Portfolio Tracker (This is a synthetic long only portfolio of the Top 9 largest equities by market cap. We started this tracker because we understand Ai dominates the investment landscape and operates in a binary construct. What we mean is that it issues a buy or a sell and will do so in reinforcing mechanisms, meaning if alpha is rising it will add, if it is falling it well sell and remove. We also created a “hedge” for those that want a more active approach to tactically maximizing their long only static portfolio of equities)
This week we will look to hedge by working the QQQ 625 calls at $5 or better to start the week once again. We hope you follow along the MEGA9s Tracker next year as we look to continue our showcase of hedges to protect your static long only equity positions. This will be even more crucial next year:
MEGA9s total market cap chart (This chart represents the total market cap of the MEGA9s and lists the 21pMA in pink along with the 50p and 200p MA)
The struggle for the top names to rise here is evident by the consolidation here. We suspect the 50pMA to give momentum to sellers on a weekly close below:
We will continue to present the Founding Member Data here for our current subscribers as a token of our appreciation. We hope you guys think about joining in, if you don’t have an allocation to the digital space, then perhaps our discretionary incentivized membership may be the easiest way for you to participate in the digital revolution!
***Founding Member Digital Strategy Section***
Founder Digital Strategy Membership Tier Data -This is our core digital strategy data specifically tailored to our Founder members. This is our flagship strategy targeting the digital currency arena. We are offering our subscribers a unique insight into what we feel are the best to offer in the space, while also creating a proprietary basket showcasing our ability to correctly decipher this new marketplace. We plan on offering our subscribers a discretionary reward at the end of each fiscal year, both highlighting our commitment to you our base but to show you the true power of a decentralized trustless system where we can all benefit! Please subscribe today and harness the power of the decentralized digital currency future!
The top 10 Digital currencies we tracked rose $2.2Bn mostly on the back of Z Cash. The Magnelibra flagship Founder Digital Strategy- (Hopefully you guys sign on to gain your decentralized exposure) is now up is +24.9% vs the equal weight Top 10 that we keep track of which is -5.6%. We believe in our proprietary methodology to outperform an equal weight top 10 digital basket. Our Founders Digital Strategy mix is based upon what we believe to be the best formula out there and is designed to keep you well ahead of the pack.
Our Digital Strategy comes with membership discretionary rewards, so we hope you join in on the decentralized future as we try to create a new path forward:
As always it is our goal to beat the equal weight index. We want you guys to participate so sign onto the Founders Strategy, we know you will not be disappointed and once you realize what it is we are trying to create for all of you, well we are certain you will be absolutely surprised and amazed and you will be bragging to all your friends and most certainly way ahead of everyone else!
By subscribing at the Founder Tier level you will be part of the decentralized monetary future, a trustless future network that rewards hard work, that rewards integrity and rests at the very heart of good natured mankind and its future prosperity, we hope you join in!
Here is the comparison chart:
As far as Bitcoin, we have now established our base case downward trend channel which should dominate the negative sentiment in Bitcoin over the next 12 months:
Ultimately we suspect Bitcoin will test and eventually reverse the decline at $39345, that is our ultimate rebuy area for a prolonged downturn and most likely will result with major liquidations from all the BTC treasury companies and pension funds who have mistakenly bought in up here.
Here is our BTC/Tether market cap comparison chart:
Strategy Inc / BTC Trading Tracker (Bitcoin vs MSTR equity, Our Strategy Inc. Covered Call Portfolio Tracker, Long 100 shares MSTR and short 1, 3% to 7% out of the money call on Monday’s open each week) For those playing along at home, please note, this long MSTR strategy that incorporates a short covered call hedge is something you cannot pick and choose to do one week to the next! This is a mandatory weekly hedge vs your long holdings. Volatility continues to get stripped out and crushed, buying Bitcoin outright vs MSTR is always the preferred exposure, if you were wondering.
If you want BTC exposure, your better off owning the BTC outright and not some pseudo derivative like MSTR. If you want exposure via MSTR, then we suggest if your account value warrants it, to sell covered calls to hedge your risk and lower your overall risk over time.
The Strategy Inc, covered call strategy, if you are long and own a 100 shares or more, we highly suggest you follow our directional call selling strategy that we provide you here. This weeks short is the $165 Call:
Strategy Inc. BTC metrics:
Ok members, take the day and seize it, know your going to win and win!
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Thank you guys, appreciate all the support and thank you for reading our work.
Support directly to our BTC address if you can: 3DvDvPnjwu5Fd6sagAYmiFXA2fPkjJf2cp
Anyone interested in investing in Monero (XMR) please reach out, we have a link to Kraken below if you use my referral code or link to try it, we’ll both earn 75 USD when you trade $200 USD of crypto in the app! (PLEASE CHECK YOUR LOCAL RESTRICTIONS! NY RESIDENCE CANNOT BUY XMR ON KRAKEN) -Absurd we know! Code: y4wsyws7 Link: https://proinvite.kraken.com/9f1e/11l9bp1z
Additionally we would be glad to consult anyone interested in getting involved here. As always we view these crypto currencies in the same realm as futures, high risk, high reward, and every portfolio should have a small percentage of their overall portfolio in investments like this.
So if interested please reach out to the email below directly and we can discuss this further. The future of financial payment systems will be digital decentralized and we are still in the infancy of this fascinating technology!
If anyone is interested in working on a digital currency project and joining in as a core investor to help lay the foundation for what is to come, please reach out!
DISCLAIMER: For educational purposes only. This is not a solicitation to buy or sell commodity futures or options. The risk of trading securities, futures and options can be substantial and is not for everyone. Such investments may not be appropriate for the recipient. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and, as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. Nothing contained in this message may be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by, of or from Magnelibra Capital Advisors. We will never claim that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Although care has been taken to assure the accuracy, completeness and reliability of the information contained herein, we make no warranty, express or implied, or assume any legal liability or responsibility for the accuracy, completeness, reliability or usefulness of any information, product, service or process disclosed.
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