Subscriber Update Data for Week Ending Dec19 2025
Silver continues to punish naked shorts and AVGO sees$300bn in market cap wiped out
As always Magnelibra Readers, lets begin with our positive affirmation quote:
“if you can create it in your mind and you can believe it in your heart, then you can achieve it!”
Ok so the equity markets continue to see bouts of profit taking followed by continued support out of the fast money camp as well as bargain hunters looking to buy anything that isn’t simply “new highs.” We saw last week Broadcom (AVGO) continue to dump post earnings. AVGO has given up over $300bln in market cap post earnings. We did recommend the options straddle going in at a cost of $28.50 which would take a move in the stock at the time above $427 or below $398.50 as noted from our post on Dec. 9th:
Well here is the move post earnings as AVGO settled at $340.36 -5.44% on the week after dropping 7.8% the week prior:
Many analysts continue to hold the line here with a buy rating as do we, because this is complete over reaction to a mere 100bp forecast cut in their margins. Yeah we know its priced for Ai perfection and its run up has been impressive. However this one should see some consolidation here and most likely will see support for the short term.
Like all the Ai mania stocks, this one should continue to see buyside flows, but, if the overall markets start to turn down, these Ai high flyers will not be immune, so honestly its not just AVGO that should be on your watch list, but all the equities in general for sentiment purposes. You guys know how we feel about the fundamentals of the real economy and you know the stock market, especially the high flyers are not indicative of any economic fundamentals. This however does not change the fact that overall market direction does impact even the most insulated stocks and AVGO will not be immune from adverse overall market action.
We also continue to see Silver explode and a lot of this has to do with a market that for years has been naked shorted and suppressed, well those days seem to be over and we knew long ago to remove any sort of resistance from the technical charts, and rather offer support levels to buy from if there was ever a chance:
On the flipside of sentiment we see Crude Oil continuing to struggle and a bit more indicative of overall economic fundamentals:
When we look at the Nasdaq and SP500 futures markets we continue to see buy side support come in and may be gearing up for a into year end new high rally:
As far as the QQQ ETF last weeks strong move higher lifted it from the pits of the 605 pivot level and now targeting the 625 area once again:
We ask that all of our readers share our work on their social medias, via email with your family and friends as we seem to moving into a much more volatile period and certainly one where access to solid information will be key. The world needs to understand our systems for what they are and that there are actionable steps one can take to truly learn and understand both our financial sphere and our world at large!
Anyway we hope you guys sign up for our work here, we truly believe we can help you succeed in your endeavors that we can open up some new pathways of thinking and of course we believe we have so much to offer you if you just put some of our work into context, make some moves and unleash the power that is inside each and everyone of you.
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We already know our regular subscribers enjoy access to our Futures Market Sentiment indicators, our MEGA9s Equity based focus with a dynamic hedge process to enhance your ability to cut risk and create a professional portfolio. Our goal is to remove this stigma that all you have is long only plays, beholden to the market always rising.
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***DAILY SUBSCRIBER ONLY SECTION DATA***
Magnelibra CTA Futures Market Trend Sentiment (Our proprietary commodity trading advisory futures market sentiment long/neutral/short market flows indicator) The portfolio is made up of the core futures markets we cover and the indicators are for single contracts of the futures market, whether long, short or zero neutral. The P+L is generated via the starting daily position and the ending daily settlement. This is considered a high risk alternative strategy. However most investors should leave a portion of their overall portfolio within a high risk basket. Some of the percentages of the overall portfolio dedicated to high risk should vary from 3% to 18% depending on ones overall time to invest and risk profiles. We added the Sharpe to our data now as well for those quantitative types!
NOTABLE CHANGES:
Move to “1” Long Bias:
Move to “0” Neutral Bias:
Move to “-1” Short Bias:
The U.S. Bond Yield Curve (This is our daily graphic displaying the U.S. bond market yield curve changes. We follow the 2 year thru 30 year durations. Please note that bond prices work inversely to yield changes so for instance if bond prices are rising and moving upward, then their yields are falling or moving downward. We also track the relationship between the durations known as US Yield Curve Spreads, when we list it as 2s5, we are comparing the yield differential between the 2 year vs the 5 year with the positive/negative viewed from the higher durations perspective.
The U.S. Treasury yield curve flattened slightly today as bond yields rose across maturities. That short term noise does not change our core conviction:
Our base case remains a decisive steepening of the yield curve over the next 12–18 months.
We expect the FOMC will be forced to cut the Fed Funds rate aggressively, bringing it to 2.5% by the end of 2026.
Those cuts will drive long-term yields substantially higher relative to short-term rates, producing a classic steepening outcome.
This is not a hope it’s our highest-conviction macro call. Players are still advised to stay long the curve meaning long the shorter durations (2s, 3s or 5s vs the longer end 10s and 30s)
Here is today’s yield curve vs the yield highs and lows and this really puts the steepening into perspective:
When we look at the US Govt 2Y we can see the trend is down now after a bout of consolidation:
Longer term the 2Y is looking for that catalyst to rip down in yields:
Daily Settlement Sheet (Magnelibra Futures and Cash bond market coverage of the daily settlement prices and dollar value of the contracts given move)
US Interest Rate Futures and Cash Markets plus Yield and Inter-commodity Spreads:
Equity Index Futures: Note the roll to March 2026 contract last week:
Dollar and FX Futures: Note the roll to March 2026 contracts last week:
Energy Futures: Note the roll in RB and NG to the Feb 2026 contracts:
Metal Futures: Silver is +117.7% YTD:
German Futures: The Dax is now rolled to the March 2026 contract:
The 5 & 30 Day rolling changes with top 3 Winners and losers (The last 5 trading days and 22 trading days net changes)
Silver and Gold, Merry Christmas!
Magnelibra MEGA9s Portfolio Tracker (This is a synthetic long only portfolio of the Top 9 largest equities by market cap. We started this tracker because we understand Ai dominates the investment landscape and operates in a binary construct. What we mean is that it issues a buy or a sell and will do so in reinforcing mechanisms, meaning if alpha is rising it will add, if it is falling it well sell and remove. We also created a “hedge” for those that want a more active approach to tactically maximizing their long only static portfolio of equities)
This week we will look to hedge by working the QQQ 625 calls at $5 or better to start the week. AVGO drops to the 7th spot with their post earnings fallout:
MEGA9s total market cap chart (This chart represents the total market cap of the MEGA9s and lists the 21pMA in pink along with the 50p and 200p MA)
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***Founding Member Digital Strategy Section***
Founder Digital Strategy Membership Tier Data -This is our core digital strategy data specifically tailored to our Founder members. This is our flagship strategy targeting the digital currency arena. We are offering our subscribers a unique insight into what we feel are the best to offer in the space, while also creating a proprietary basket showcasing our ability to correctly decipher this new marketplace. We plan on offering our subscribers a discretionary reward at the end of each fiscal year, both highlighting our commitment to you our base but to show you the true power of a decentralized trustless system where we can all benefit! Please subscribe today and harness the power of the decentralized digital currency future!
The Digital Top 10 jumped $106Bn in market cap on Friday. The Magnelibra flagship Founder Digital Strategy is +19.3% vs the equal weight Top 10 that we keep track of which is -8.7%. We believe in our proprietary methodology to outperform an equal weight top 10 digital basket. Our Founders Digital Strategy mix is based upon what we believe to be the best formula out there and is designed to keep you well ahead of the pack. Our Digital Strategy comes with membership discretionary rewards, so we hope you join in on the decentralized future as we try to create a new path forward:
As always it is our goal to beat the equal weight index. We want you guys to participate so sign onto the Founders Strategy, we know you will not be disappointed and once you realize what it is we are trying to create for all of you, well we are certain you will be absolutely surprised and amazed and you will be bragging to all your friends and most certainly way ahead of everyone else!
By subscribing at the Founder Tier level you will be part of the decentralized monetary future, a trustless future network that rewards hard work, that rewards integrity and rests at the very heart of good natured mankind and its future prosperity, we hope you join in!
Here is the comparison chart:
As far as Bitcoin, we have now established our base case downward trend channel which should dominate the negative sentiment in Bitcoin over the next 12 months:
Ultimately we suspect Bitcoin will test and eventually reverse the decline at $39345, that is our ultimate rebuy area for a prolonged downturn and most likely will result with major liquidations from all the BTC treasury companies and pension funds who have mistakenly bought in up here.
Here is our BTC/Tether market cap comparison chart:
Strategy Inc / BTC Trading Tracker (Bitcoin vs MSTR equity, Our Strategy Inc. Covered Call Portfolio Tracker, Long 100 shares MSTR and short 1, 3% to 7% out of the money call on Monday’s open each week) For those playing along at home, please note, this long MSTR strategy that incorporates a short covered call hedge is something you cannot pick and choose to do one week to the next! This is a mandatory weekly hedge vs your long holdings. Volatility continues to get stripped out and crushed, buying Bitcoin outright vs MSTR is always the preferred exposure, if you were wondering.
If you want BTC exposure, your better off owning the BTC outright and not some pseudo derivative like MSTR. If you want exposure via MSTR, then we suggest if your account value warrants it, to sell covered calls to hedge your risk and lower your overall risk over time.
The Strategy Inc, covered call strategy, if you are long and own a 100 shares or more, we highly suggest you follow our directional call selling strategy that we provide you here. This week we would like to work to sell the $170 Call for $5 or better expiry 12/26:
Strategy Inc. BTC metrics. With the mNAV at 1 it will be interesting to see just how far of a discount this becomes if BTC really falls out of bed:
Ok members, take the day and seize it, know your going to win and win!
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Support directly to our BTC address if you can: 3DvDvPnjwu5Fd6sagAYmiFXA2fPkjJf2cp
Anyone interested in investing in Monero (XMR) please reach out, we have a link to Kraken below if you use my referral code or link to try it, we’ll both earn 75 USD when you trade $200 USD of crypto in the app! (PLEASE CHECK YOUR LOCAL RESTRICTIONS! NY RESIDENCE CANNOT BUY XMR ON KRAKEN) -Absurd we know!
Code: y4wsyws7
Link: https://proinvite.kraken.com/9f1e/11l9bp1z
Additionally we would be glad to consult anyone interested in getting involved here. As always we view these crypto currencies in the same realm as futures, high risk, high reward, and every portfolio should have a small percentage of their overall portfolio in investments like this.
So if interested please reach out to the email below directly and we can discuss this further. The future of financial payment systems will be digital decentralized and we are still in the infancy of this fascinating technology!
If anyone is interested in working on a digital currency project and joining in as a core investor to help lay the foundation for what is to come, please reach out!