Warmer Greenland = Colder Northern US + FOMC Week and Another 25bp Cut
Subscriber Update Data for Dec5 2025
As always Magnelibra Readers, lets begin with our positive affirmation quote:
“if you can create it in your mind and you can believe it in your heart, then you can achieve it!”
We ask that all of our readers share our work on their social medias, via email with your family and friends as we seem to moving into a much more volatile period and certainly one where access to solid information will be key. The world needs to understand our systems for what they are and that there are actionable steps one can take to truly learn and understand both our financial sphere and our world at large!
We often get too caught up in our daily lives, in our daily grind, in the day to day to even stop to think about ourselves, what truly gives us meaning and we all need to do a better job of recognizing those in our lives that have made lasting impacts. Maybe its a friend you haven’t talked to in awhile, maybe its a family member you haven’t seen in awhile, maybe its that thing at work that you have been dreading to do. Whatever it is, lets try to make a conscious effort in stepping out of our box and make a change, make it happen, let life happen. We could all use a little nudge here and there and perhaps this is one of those times where you heed the call!
Anyway we hope you guys sign up for our work here, we truly believe we can help you succeed in your endeavors that we can open up some new pathways of thinking and of course we believe we have so much to offer you if you just put some of our work into context, make some moves and unleash the power that is inside each and everyone of you.
We are limited only by ourself imposed walls, remove those barriers and access your full potential! Our new Founding Member Digital Strategy will revolutionize the way you look at the crypto space, the future is decentralized and we believe we have a way for you to participate, to learn, to succeed and to provide the very proof you need each and every single day, the future is now!
We already know our regular subscribers enjoy access to our Futures Market Sentiment indicators, our MEGA9s Equity based focus with a dynamic hedge process to enhance your ability to cut risk and create a professional portfolio. Our goal is to remove this stigma that all you have is long only plays, beholden to the market always rising. Yes we know the FOMC expands its balance sheet at a massive 9.67% annualized rate over the last nearly 30 years and this is your real source of asset price increase. The real question we always have is why in the hell they do this if their dual mandate includes stable prices and low inflation! Where would asset prices be if they were capped at expanding their asset base at 2% annualized??? We already know this answer about 5x lower than current levels and affordability and income gaps would be much narrower today:
You see, we here at Magnelibra look to simplify what many try to complicate, its complex but its not complicated. We believe we are running into a very important point in time, one which the monetarist global central bank regimes will be competing with public decentralized networks for business and debt money will become increasingly scrutinized. We aren’t sure what this transition means for everything, but we are damn sure we will be here consistently trying to break it all down as it happens. One thing we are sure of is that the law of large numbers is exposing this false premise of print to prosperity and that the global cooperation game is hanging on by threads.
So sign up today, our offering is cheap for the monthly regular membership, our digital Founders Tier is designed to be your access point into the future of decentralized finance as we envision it, we hope you join us we know you won’t regret it.
Before we get into the subscriber only data, let’s look at a few charts, first up the QQQ ETF. The bulls seem to be in control here as the rebound is now pushing us into the 632 resistance area and we wouldn’t suspect a change in overall sentiment unless the 605 area is breached below:
Same pattern exists in the Nasdaq futures where the upside target remains new highs above 26425 with weekly support down at 24657 and 24000 remains our pivot area:
The SP500 futures also sees resistance levels being targeted at new highs above 6970 with support at 6750
When we look overseas to the German DAX market, we can see how important the 50p weekly MA was and disaster for now has been averted:
We are also keeping an eye out on Crude Oil and Nat Gas:
Crude Oil has had two back to back winning weeks:
Nat Gas futures have breached the 4.88 level and now it will be up to the bulls to hold that level this week:
Nat Gas prices may continue to be pressured higher, especially given the fact that the Greenland ice mass imbalance is trending below 2011/2012 average data, we would suspect this may transfer into a colder/snowier Northern US climate:
We had Grok summarize this possibility below:
Greenland’s warmth (driving ice loss) doesn’t directly “cause” North American winters to be colder or warmer—it’s more about atmospheric circulation patterns amplified by Arctic changes. Warmer Arctic air weakens the temperature gradient between the equator and poles, slowing the jet stream and increasing “blocking” highs (persistent high-pressure ridges). This can create wavy, stalled weather patterns, including cold outbreaks. Key connections:
1. North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Greenland Blocking
The NAO is the dominant driver: Positive NAO (+NAO) strengthens westerly winds, keeping cold air north—warmer, wetter North American winters. Negative NAO (-NAO) promotes Greenland blocking (high pressure over/near Greenland), dipping the jet stream south for Arctic air plunges.
Warmer Greenland enhances -NAO likelihood: Reduced sea ice and meltwater freshen the ocean, cooling surface waters and favoring blocking highs. Historical data shows -NAO winters (e.g., 2010) often follow high-melt years.
Impact on NA: Colder eastern/central U.S./Canada (e.g., -5-10°C anomalies in outbreaks), snowier Northeast/Mid-Atlantic. Western NA more variable (milder Pacific influence).
2. Broader Arctic Amplification Effects
Jet Stream Meandering: Warmer poles = slower, wavier jet, trapping cold air in Siberia/Greenland for explosive releases (e.g., “polar vortex disruptions”).
La Niña Overlay: This winter’s weak La Niña (cool equatorial Pacific) reinforces -NAO/ blocking, favoring cold NA spills—compounding Greenland’s warmth signal.
Long-term: AMOC slowdown from meltwater could cool eastern NA more (harsher winters), but that’s decades out.
3. 2025-2026 Winter Forecast for North America Based on NOAA/ECMWF analogs and current signals (easterly QBO, weak polar vortex, +AMO in Atlantic), a -NAO phase is favored mid-to-late winter (Jan-Feb 2026), raising odds of colder-than-average conditions in eastern/central NA. December may start milder, but blocking ramps up.
Probability: ~60-70% for colder eastern winter vs. 50/50 baseline, per analogs (e.g., 2010, 2014). Not guaranteed—sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) events could lock in cold for weeks.
Caveats: Greenland’s role is ~20-30% of the signal; ocean temps and MJO phases add noise. If blocking fails (unlikely), expect warmer/wetter.
In short: Warmer Greenland this year tilts toward a colder North American winter (esp. east), via enhanced blocking.
OK, switching over to the US Bond market where we look at the US Govt 10Y yields again above our 4.090% pivot:
With the FOMC meeting this week and a near 90% expected 25bp rate cut, we may see the 10yr yields jump and test the 4.20% area, but we would suspect consolidation and rotation back down from that area over the next few weeks post meeting:
That’s all for the free readers, the real intel starts now. Behind the paywall you’ll find the full breakdowns, exclusive data, trade setups, and the unfiltered truth we can’t publish in the open. For the price of a coffee or two each month, the regular membership gives you unlimited access to everything we publish.
Or step up to the digital Founders Tier is your front-row seat to the future of decentralized finance as we’re actively building it, complete with our proprietary digital currency model which will include our discretionary bonus for our Founder tier members. Many have already joined and never looked back.
We’d love to have you with us – come see why they don’t regret it. Subscribe now and let’s get to work! Please also think about sharing our work on your social media outlets to help us in our endeavors to educate the masses.
***DAILY SUBSCRIBER ONLY SECTION DATA***
